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Day: March 2, 2019

Trump says strong US dollar, rate hikes are hurting economy

President Donald Trump reiterated his criticism of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy and said it is promoting a strong U.S. dollar, possibly at the expense of the U.S. economy, during a nearly two-hour speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference on Saturday. “America is now booming like never before,” Trump said. “Other countries are doing …

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Treasury Yield Surged on Abating Global Risks and Bets on Bottoming in Economic Slowdown

There were so many high profile events last week. In the end, the positive ones were more than enough to offset the negative ones. US-China trade truce was extended indefinitely and it looks closer than ever to have deal. MSCI’s increase of weighting of Chinese stocks gave China another huge boost. Chance of no-deal Brexit …

Treasury Yield Surged on Abating Global Risks and Bets on Bottoming in Economic SlowdownRead More

Canadian ‘Solo’ Recession Risk: Rhetoric vs Reality

Highlights Canadian economic growth has decelerated markedly, and a repeat of the fourth quarter’s near-zero pace is expected in 2019Q1. This growth slump has led clients to question whether Canada can contract or stagnate alongside an otherwise healthy U.S. counterpart. It is rare, but the answer is yes. The typical escape valve of an improving …

Canadian ‘Solo’ Recession Risk: Rhetoric vs RealityRead More

ECB Preview: No TLTRO Announcement as ECB Waits for Further Data

We expect the ECB to acknowledge the risks to the euro area economy at next week’s meeting but we do not expect to see any policy decisions yet. We do not expect a liquidity operation announcement either. The staff projections will be instrumental to the ECB narrative but as several ECB governing council members have …

ECB Preview: No TLTRO Announcement as ECB Waits for Further DataRead More

Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary: Global Uncertainty Remains Elevated For the Time Being

U.S. Review Drawing the Curtain on 2018 Economic data out the gate this week provided some clarity on how the economy fared through the end of 2018. Real GDP in the United States grew at an annualized rate of 2.6% in the fourth quarter. This marked a deceleration from the breakneck pace seen in the …

Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary: Global Uncertainty Remains Elevated For the Time BeingRead More

Week Ahead: Three Major Central Bank Decisions and NFP

The first day of the new month started positively overnight with Asian and European shares rallying sharply. But shortly after Wall Street opened, things started to turn negative, causing European shares to close off their best levels and US indices were struggling to hold onto the positive territory when this report was being written. A …

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