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Day: March 23, 2019

Sentiments Turned Very Fragile as Recession Fears Intensified

After the much more dovish than expected Fed economic projections and shockingly poor Eurozone manufacturing data, it looks like major world economies are at the brink recessions. German 10-year bund yield turned negative for the first time since 2016, and it was as high as 0.12 during the week. US yield curve between 3-month and …

Sentiments Turned Very Fragile as Recession Fears IntensifiedRead More

France, Germany risk spike shows core Europe wobbling

Although the risks facing the eurozone have improved during the past five years, almost every country remains worse off in Euromoney’s country risk survey since the global financial crisis struck in 2007-08. Plus, compared with last year – when concern subsided over eurozone economic health, debt piles, and flimsy banks – risk scores for certain …

France, Germany risk spike shows core Europe wobblingRead More

China Weekly Letter: High-Level Trade Talks Resume, Enforcement the Key Hurdle

High-level trade talks resume, disagreement on enforcement the big hurdle. Metal markets still underpin a recovery, otherwise little macro news this week. Xi Jinping visits Europe amid concern over Italy signing memorandum on the Belt and Road Initiative. High-level trade talks resuming We are still waiting for the date of the meeting between Xi Jinping …

China Weekly Letter: High-Level Trade Talks Resume, Enforcement the Key HurdleRead More

Dollar Recovers Fed Driven Losses on Safe-haven Flows

The US dollar had a wild week, finishing the week mixed against its major trading partners, as market participants reassess the effects of the Fed’s dovish commitment and how much weaker the German economy will become.  Risk-aversion remains the key theme for financial markets after the three-month/10-year yield curve inverted for the first time since …

Dollar Recovers Fed Driven Losses on Safe-haven FlowsRead More