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Day: March 20, 2021

Sentiments Turned Cautious on Yields and Infections, But Stay Positive

US treasury yield jumped last week after Fed gave way to more yield strength. In the background, there were some concerns over resurgence of coronavirus infections in some countries like France, Brazil and India. There was also risk of slower than originally expected vaccine rollouts. Tensions between US China heightened after the “diplomatic” talks in …

Sentiments Turned Cautious on Yields and Infections, But Stay PositiveRead More

The Fed can fight inflation, but it may come at the cost of future growth

Gas prices are displayed at a Speedway gas station on March 03, 2021 in Martinez, California. Justin Sullivan | Getty Images One of the main reasons Federal Reserve officials don’t fear inflation these days is the belief that they have tools to deploy should it become a problem. Those tools, however, come with a cost, …

The Fed can fight inflation, but it may come at the cost of future growthRead More

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Still on Track for a Robust Recovery Even After Soft Data This Week

U.S. Review Still on Track for a Robust Recovery Even After Soft Data This Week The worse-than-expected outcomes for February retail sales, industrial production and housing starts were in part due to the severe winter weather that hit much of the country last month. However, other factors contributed to each sector’s decline, including payback for …

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Still on Track for a Robust Recovery Even After Soft Data This WeekRead More

Forward Guidance: Race Between Vaccine Rollout and Virus Spread Heating Up

It would not be at all surprising to see flash Canadian wholesale and manufacturing sale reports for February soften albeit after very solid January gains (wholesale sales rose 4.0%, manufacturing up 3.1% in January). The latter will likely continue to be weighed down by disruptions to auto production from ongoing computer chip shortages. But the …

Forward Guidance: Race Between Vaccine Rollout and Virus Spread Heating UpRead More

The Weekly Bottom Line: Spring is Just Around the Corner

U.S. Highlights Most Federal Open Market Committee members see no interest rate hikes until at least 2024 despite a sharp upgrade to the growth outlook. Retail sales weakened on the back of frigid temperatures, but additional support to households through the American Rescue Plan is likely to support retail activity in the coming months. Housing …

The Weekly Bottom Line: Spring is Just Around the CornerRead More

The Weekly Bottom Line: Spring is Just Around the Corner

U.S. Highlights Most Federal Open Market Committee members see no interest rate hikes until at least 2024 despite a sharp upgrade to the growth outlook. Retail sales weakened on the back of frigid temperatures, but additional support to households through the American Rescue Plan is likely to support retail activity in the coming months. Housing …

The Weekly Bottom Line: Spring is Just Around the CornerRead More

The Weekly Bottom Line: Spring is Just Around the Corner

U.S. Highlights Most Federal Open Market Committee members see no interest rate hikes until at least 2024 despite a sharp upgrade to the growth outlook. Retail sales weakened on the back of frigid temperatures, but additional support to households through the American Rescue Plan is likely to support retail activity in the coming months. Housing …

The Weekly Bottom Line: Spring is Just Around the CornerRead More

Week Ahead: Coronavirus, MOAR Powell, and US Treasury Auctions

After a jam packed, Central Bank dominated week, things will begin to slow down as spring arrives.  There were no major surprises from the FOMC, BOE, and BOJ last week, however the peripheral central banks of Turkey and Norway were notably concerned about inflation.  This week, as the vaccine rollouts continue, the coronavirus makes its …

Week Ahead: Coronavirus, MOAR Powell, and US Treasury AuctionsRead More

Week Ahead: Coronavirus, MOAR Powell, and US Treasury Auctions

After a jam packed, Central Bank dominated week, things will begin to slow down as spring arrives.  There were no major surprises from the FOMC, BOE, and BOJ last week, however the peripheral central banks of Turkey and Norway were notably concerned about inflation.  This week, as the vaccine rollouts continue, the coronavirus makes its …

Week Ahead: Coronavirus, MOAR Powell, and US Treasury AuctionsRead More

Week Ahead: Financial Markets Remain Fixated with Bond Market Moves and Brace for Lots of Central Bank Speak

The focus for the upcoming week will stay with the bond market.  Financial markets are worried with how high Treasury yields can go.  Treasuries have declined for seven straight weeks and that has triggered been the primary driver for US dollar strength. Monday is the start of the Bank of International Settlements’ Innovation Summit four-day …

Week Ahead: Financial Markets Remain Fixated with Bond Market Moves and Brace for Lots of Central Bank SpeakRead More

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