The Golden Cross: What is it and How to Identify it when Trading?

The ‘golden cross’ is a term often mentioned in trading circles due to its usefulness in spotting changes in trends while also being incredibly easy to use. This article will explain the concept of the golden cross, how to identify the golden cross and explore complementary indicators to use alongside the simple moving averages when analyzing changing trends.

Golden Cross ແມ່ນຫຍັງ?

A golden cross occurs when the 50 simple moving average (SMA) crosses above the 200 SMA. The golden cross provides a bullish backdrop to the market as short-term price momentum advances higher, with the potential to evolve into a new long-term ແນວໂນ້ມ (uptrend).

50 SMA ແມ່ນຕົວເລກສະເລ່ຍຂອງລະດັບລາຄາປິດໃນໄລຍະ 50 ທີ່ຜ່ານມາຫຼືມື້, ຖ້າທ່ານກໍາລັງໃຊ້ຕາຕະລາງປະຈໍາວັນເປັນຕົວຢ່າງ. ດັ່ງນັ້ນ, 50 SMA ແມ່ນປະຕິກິລິຍາຕໍ່ການເຄື່ອນໄຫວຂອງລາຄາທີ່ຜ່ານມາຫຼາຍກ່ວາ 200 SMA, ເຊິ່ງສະເລ່ຍລາຄາປິດ 200 ສຸດທ້າຍແລະມີແນວໂນ້ມທີ່ຈະສ້າງເສັ້ນທີ່ລຽບກວ່າ, ປະຕິກິລິຍາຫນ້ອຍຕໍ່ກັບລາຄາທີ່ຜ່ານມາກ່ວາ 50 SMA.

ຮຽນຮູ້ວິທີການຄິດໄລ່ສະເລ່ຍການເຄື່ອນຍ້າຍແບບງ່າຍດາຍໃນບົດຄວາມຂອງພວກເຮົາ, 'ການເຄື່ອນຍ້າຍສະເລ່ຍອະທິບາຍສໍາລັບພໍ່ຄ້າ'

How to Identify a Golden Cross

There are three main stages to the formation of the golden cross:

1. ນໍາພາຂຶ້ນ: ການປະຕິບັດລາຄາ consolidates or, in some scenarios, turns sharply higher after trending lower for a considerable period of time. This provides the initial clue that the downtrend may be starting to lose momentum and could even result in an eventual trend reversal. The 50 SMA remains below the 200 SMA during this stage.

2. The golden cross: This is the exact moment the 50 SMA crosses above the 200 SMA, providing the bullish backdrop for the market known as the golden cross. The golden cross is often interpreted as a trigger to look for entries ເຂົ້າໄປໃນຕະຫຼາດ.

3. Continued upward momentum: Price action advances higher after the golden cross is observed, often creating a fresh new trend (uptrend). Ideally, in this stage you may observe the shorter 50 SMA acting as dynamic support for price action and price continues to trade above the 50 SMA for some time.

ແນະນຳໂດຍ Richard Snow

ຮຽນຮູ້ສິ່ງທີ່ເຮັດໃຫ້ຕະຫຼາດ forex, ແລະ pip ແມ່ນຫຍັງ

ຂໍເອົາ ຄຳ ແນະ ນຳ ຂອງຂ້ອຍ

ສະເລ່ຍການເຄື່ອນຍ້າຍແບບງ່າຍດາຍເປັນຕົວຊີ້ວັດການຊັກຊ້າ

ໂດຍ​ທໍາ​ມະ​ຊາດ​ຂອງ​ຕົນ​ສະ​ເລ່ຍ​ເຄື່ອນ​ໄຫວ​ງ່າຍ​ດາຍ​ແມ່ນ a ຕົວຊີ້ວັດການຊັກຊ້າ, ຊຶ່ງຫມາຍຄວາມວ່າມັນອີງໃສ່ການປະຕິບັດລາຄາທີ່ຜ່ານມາເພື່ອໃຫ້ການຊ່ວຍເຫຼືອໃນເວລາທີ່ການວິເຄາະສະພາບຕະຫຼາດໃນປະຈຸບັນ. ໂດຍພື້ນຖານແລ້ວ, SMA ມີໄລຍະເວລາ lag, ສົ່ງຜົນໃຫ້ສັນຍານຖືກຜະລິດບາງຄັ້ງຫຼັງຈາກການເຄື່ອນໄຫວໄດ້ເກີດຂື້ນ.

ບາງຄົນອາດຈະເບິ່ງນີ້ເປັນໂອກາດທີ່ສູນເສຍໄປໃນຂະນະທີ່ຄົນອື່ນອາດຈະຊື່ນຊົມກັບສັນຍານທີ່ຊັກຊ້າຍ້ອນວ່າມັນອາດຈະສະຫນອງຄວາມເຊື່ອຫມັ້ນໃນລະດັບທີ່ສູງກວ່າວ່າແນວໂນ້ມໄດ້ປ່ຽນແປງຢ່າງແທ້ຈິງແລະພວກເຮົາບໍ່ພຽງແຕ່ເປັນພະຍານເຖິງ retracement ໃນໄລຍະສັ້ນ. ພໍ່ຄ້າໄລຍະສັ້ນເຊັ່ນ scalpers ແລະພໍ່ຄ້າມື້, ຊອກຫາທຶນໃນການເຄື່ອນໄຫວຂະຫນາດນ້ອຍກວ່າ, ສາມາດເຮັດໃຫ້ຕົວຊີ້ວັດຕອບສະຫນອງຫຼາຍຂຶ້ນໂດຍການຫຼຸດຜ່ອນສະເລ່ຍການເຄື່ອນຍ້າຍໃນໄລຍະສັ້ນແລະໄລຍະຍາວໃນເວລາທີ່ປັບເງື່ອນໄຂການປ້ອນຂໍ້ມູນ.

ໄດ້ ສະເລ່ຍຍ້າຍຕາມເລກ ກຳ ລັງ (EMA) places greater significance on recent price action, resulting in a more responsive MA. Learn the difference between SMA ແລະ EMA.

ນອກ ເໜືອ ໄປຈາກນີ້, ຍັງມີ ຈຳ ນວນຂອງ ຕົວຊີ້ວັດດ້ານວິຊາການ that can be utilized alongside the SMA when analyzing developing trend reversals, which are explored below.

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Useful Indicators to Use with SMAs

For a trend to develop, a market first needs to break out of an existing range or consolidation phase. This can be analyzed purely from a ການປະຕິບັດລາຄາ point of view (observing price breaking above resistance or below support) or via the use of an indicator.

  • ຊ່ອງ Donchian: The Donchian channel indicator identifies the high and low for a period of time and carries these levels forward on the chart to better visualize significant levels that contain price action. A break above or below these levels with sustained momentum could indicate the start of a long-term trend.

The chart below depicts a break above the Donchian channel with continued momentum (red circle), suggesting that a new trend may be emerging.

Since the golden cross seeks to identify a bullish trend reversal, it makes sense to use trend following indicators after the market has broken out of a period of consolidation.

  • ການເຄື່ອນຍ້າຍໂດຍສະເລ່ຍ Convergence Divergence (MACD): the MACD is a technical tool that averages price over a period of time. The smoothing effect this has on price charts help give a clearer indication on what direction the pair is moving.

Below it can be seen that the MACD actually provides the first indication of a new potential uptrend with the bullish MACD crossover (purple circle). This provides the initial basis of the bullish bias which is later reinforced by the golden cross which provides further support of the bullish bias.

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