自5月初以来，土耳其里拉兑日元汇率一直在上升通道内走强。如图所示，TRY/JPY货币对正在测试其下轨18.80。
从理论角度来看，短期内汇率有望上涨，因为汇率可能下探至19.90/20.00区间的上轨。如果这一趋势持续，则整体走势预计仍将上行。
然而，需要注意的是，目前位于 18.99/18.13 区间的 55 小时、100 小时和 200 小时均线对汇率构成压力。因此，该货币对可能跌破该通道向南，并下探至 18.25 的斐波那契 61.80% 回撤位。
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