就在幾個小時前，我的同事法瓦德·拉扎克扎達指出，“目前尚不清楚英國和歐盟在達成協議方面是否取得了任何真正進展。”儘管還沒有任何官方聲明，更不用說投票，但據報道，歐盟的最新提議被民主統一黨稱為“不可能”，並且與之前拒絕的提議相比沒有足夠的改變。
我們將在周二投票前看看本週末的爭論會帶來什麼，但早期跡象並不樂觀。具有前瞻性的交易者已經開始拋售英鎊/美元，並在歐洲時段收盤時下跌以測試 1.30 關口。如下圖所示，最近一次反彈的 61.8% 斐波那契回檔位位於 1.2990，可能會提供近期支撐。
看漲的讀者可能希望在過於激進地做出承諾之前先觀察 RSI 指標突破其看跌通道 - 請注意，英鎊/美元的 RSI 在 2 月中旬價格超過其相應看跌通道的前一天突破了其看跌通道。
也就是說，英鎊/美元在過去 360 個交易日「僅」修正了 8 點；為了配合 100 月底/78.6 月初的調整，利率必須在接下來的 1.2900 個交易日內向 7 附近的 XNUMX% 斐波那契回檔位再下跌約 XNUMX 點。
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