週五，歐元兌美元近兩年來首次跌入 1.11 區域，進一步擴大了其長期下行格局。 雖然週一的反彈證明了隨機指標發出的超賣信號是合理的，但RSI 的疲軟（繼續徘徊在50 以下）以及Ichimoku 指標（紅色Tenkan-sen 和藍色Kijun-sen）的負斜率都讓人質疑上行空間能走多遠。
1.1200關口目前使多頭受到控制，任何突破該邊界的行為都可能會改善市場情緒，下一個阻力位可能是50日簡單移動平均線（SMA）1.1272。 如果多頭突破 1.1320 附近的障礙，更重要的是爬升至 1.1346 附近的 Ichimoku 雲頂上方，則反彈可能會延續至 200 日移動平均線 (1.1413)。
否則，反轉下行預計將在 1.1110 底部附近找到立即支撐。 如果空頭突破這一障礙，拋售可能會加劇，將價格推低至 1.1000-1.0950 關鍵限制區域。
從中期來看，收盤價跌破前低點 1.1175 後，前景變得更加悲觀。 50 日和 200 日移動平均線的下跌也表明牛市仍遙遙無期。
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