昨天歐洲收盤後大約兩個小時，股市和債券上漲，而收益率和美元下跌，因為市場50月份降息0.50個基點的可能性飆升至近四分之三。 這是由紐約聯儲主席約翰威廉姆斯引發的，他在一次演講中給出了最溫和的暗示。 只是，這一舉動只持續了幾分鐘，美聯儲發言人很快就發表聲明稱，威廉姆斯並不打算在本月即將舉行的聯邦公開市場委員會會議上暗示美聯儲將大幅降息。 因此，再次降息50%的可能性下降至XNUMX%以下，從而導緻美元反彈。
但陷入短期看跌通道的美元/日元目前已觸及107.70至107.90之間水平阻力的下限，該區域之前是支撐位。 因此，考慮到對美元的負面情緒以及避險黃金的反彈，如果美元/日元從此處恢復走低，我不會感到驚訝。 第一個看跌目標是目前低於 107.20 的流動性，隨後目標是低於 106.80 的區域。
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