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Using Sentiment, IGCS in a Long-Term Trading Strategy

Market conditions can last for extended periods of time, especially when analysed in the context of how well/poorly the underlying economy is performing. An expanding or contracting economy can guide or inform future monetary policy that is likely to have an effect on the forex market over the long term, or as the economic cycle unfolds. This article focuses on using Maqnaanshaha Macmiilka IG in a long term strategy.

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Multiple Uses of IG Client Sentiment

IG Client Sentiment is often considered a tilmaame horseeda as it provides an estimate of future price paths which can be very helpful for traders. It is also a versatile indicator that can be applied across a number of time frames, meaning it can be applied to a number of different market conditions:

waqtigaas Xaaladda Suuqa Xeeladda
Waqti dheer Daalacanayo Trading in line with the trend
Waqtiga-dhexe Shaati Buying near support and selling near resistance
Muddo gaaban Hakadyada Looking for large moves over a short period of time

Wareegyada Dhaqaalaha

A caadiga ah meertada dhaqaalaha – although no cycle is alike – exhibits similar characteristics during each phase of the cycle. Economic cycles can be broken down into four main stages:

1. Balaadhinta: Improvinge conomic conditions – GDP ticks higher, bangiyada dhexe start hiking interest rate hikes, declining unemployment.

2. Peak: The height of the economic boom – GDP reaches heightened levels, central banks are well into an interest rate hiking cycle and the labor market is at or near full unemployment.

3. Contraction: Worsening economic conditions – GDP falls, central banks become accommodative and drop interest rates and unemployment rises.

4. Trough: Economic depression/recession – GDP falls to low levels, central banks lower interest rates and implement other central bank programs to stimulate the economy. Unemployment rates rise significantly.

Sida Loo Isticmaalo Dareenka Macmiilka IG Ganacsigaaga

Sida Loo Isticmaalo Dareenka Macmiilka IG Ganacsigaaga

Waxaa soo jeediyay Richard Snow

Learn how to interpret client sentiment and incorporate it

Hel Hagahayga

How Market Cycles Can Inform a Long-Term Trading Strategy

Due to the cyclical nature of long-term isbeddellada, FX traders may look to focus longer-term approaches on trending market conditions. This can be driven by a host of fundamental factors, for example, when the economy is experiencing higher growth and higher interest rates, there can be potential for trends to hold for an extended period of time.

The challenge at this point, is timing, as traders look to ‘buy low, sell high,’ but rarely is there an obvious spot to begin implementing such an approach. This is where IGCS can help.

To adjust this to a longer-term time frame, traders can simply observe longer-term charts (daily, weekly, monthly), looking to harness trending situations of higher-highs and higher-lows or lower highs and lower lows for falling markets.

Once the trend has been found, IGCS can assist when timing entries in the direction of the trend. Look for an imbalance in trader sentiment of around 67% in the opposite direction of the trend. This is because retail client sentiment can be viewed as a contrarian indicator.

For more information on IG Client Sentiment and why it is considered a contrarian indicator, read our article, ‘ Trading on Sentiment: Using IG Client Sentiment Data'

Isticmaal technical or fundamental analysis to help time an entry into the market, making use of joojiyaa and limits to effectively Maamulida khatarta.

Astaamaha Ganacsatada Guulaystay

Astaamaha Ganacsatada Guulaystay

Waxaa soo jeediyay Richard Snow

Astaamaha Ganacsatada Guulaystay

Hel Hagahayga

Long-term trading example using IGCS:

For example, the IGCS daily chart below shows an upward trending market with client sentiment showing a significant short imbalance with nearly 70% of clients short. The scale on the right hand side shows a reading of around 32 which means 32% of traders are long this market, meaning 68% of traders are short this market (100 – 32).

Technical and/or fundamental analysis can be used to identify preferential entry into the market while, once more, making use of stops and limits to achieve a positive reward-risk ratio.

Ma waxaad raadineysaa inaad ka ganacsato deegaan la ekaysiiyay si aad si wanaagsan u barato xeeladaha, tabaha iyo habka? Riix halkan si aad u codsato demo bilaash ah kooxda IG.