SNB Preview : FX Intervention the Key Monetary Policy Tool to Curb CHF’s Strength
We expect SNB to leave the policy rate unchanged at -0.75%. While it does not rule out the possibility of further rate cut, the central bank’s main tool is FX intervention to curb excessive strength in Swiss franc. Economic contraction...
RBNZ Preview – Waiting for More Hints on Negative Rate
After a big move in August, the RBNZ will likely leave the OCR unchanged at 0.25% and the cap of Large Scale Asset Purchase (LSAP) unchanged at NZD 100B. It is, however, expected to offer more indication on the alternative...
BOE Voted 9-0 to Keep Policy Unchanged. Signaled to Discuss with Regulator about Negative Rate Implementation
BOE voted unanimously to leave the Bank rate unchanged at 0.1%. The asset purchase program also stayed at 745B pound in September. At the meeting, policymakers acknowledged stronger-than-expected recovery in the UK. Yet, they reiterated that the outlook remained highly...
Fed Shifted to Outcome-Based Forward Guidance, Upgraded Economic Projections
The Fed left the policy rate unchanged at 0-0.25% and the asset purchases program unchanged in September. There are substantial changes in the policy statement, reflecting the formal adoption of average inflation targeting. Updated economic projections revealed a more optimistic...
AUD Strengthened on Upbeat Chinese Data, RBA Minutes Contained Little News
RBA minutes for the September meeting contained little new information. The members highlighted uncertainty of the economic outlook with lockdowns in Victoria would likely derail Australia’s recovery. Australian dollar is climbing higher at the time of writing this report. However,...
BOE Preview – BOE to Signal More Easing on Weak Recovery and Brexit Uncertainty
Renewed uncertainty of Brexit talks, sharp selloff of sterling last week and increased speculations of further rate hike have made this week’s BOE meeting a closely-watched one. While the central bank is expected to leave the policy rate and QE...
FOMC Preview – Policy Incorporating Average Inflation Targeting. New Economic Forecasts and Dot Plots Awaited
After announcing to adopt a new monetary policy framework at Jackson Hole symposium weeks ago, the focus of the upcoming FOMC meeting is on the more clarification of average inflation targeting, the members’ view on the economic outlook (to be...
ECB Upbeat about Recovery, Resorted to Verbal Warning of Strong Euro
ECB left all the monetary policy measures unchanged in September. The staff upgraded the near-term growth outlook, as well as core inflation forecasts for 2021 and 2022, suggesting the central bank’s optimism over the recovery. Policymakers continued to stress that...
BOC Left Policy Rate and QE Unchanged, Pledged to Calibrate Measures when Needed
BOC announced to leave the policy rate at the effective lower bound of 0.25% and maintain the pace of asset purchases at CAD 5B/week of Canadian government bonds. While acknowledging that economic activities have rebounded more than expected since the...
ECB Preview – Warning about Euro Strength with No Action Needed
ECB is expected to maintain the monetary policy measures in September. The focuses on the meeting include policymakers’ response to the recent strength in euro, the updated economic projections and ECB’s strategy review after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s announcement at...