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Fundamental analysis of Forex market

Aussie Slammed after RBA Hike

The Australian dollar is sharply lower on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6796, down 1.0% on the day. RBA hikes by 0.50%, Aussie plunges The RBA ...
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Canadian Business Outlook Remains Elevated Heading into the Summer

Business optimism ticked lower but remained elevated in the second quarter of 2022, according to the Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey (BOS). The BOS indicator, a statistical summary of ...
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Week Ahead: RBA, FOMC Minutes and Non-Farm Payrolls

Volatility may pickup later in the week as the RBA makes its decision on an interest rate hike and the US releases FOMC Minutes, as well as NFP.Central Bank heads ...
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Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: U.S. Recession Is Likely, and Global Contagion Is Unavoidable

Summary United States: Running on Empty Consumers staying power is showing signs of running out as inflation persists and confidence moves sharply lower. While consumers still have the ability to ...
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New Zealand Dollar Near 2-year Low

The New Zealand dollar is steady on Thursday. Earlier in the day, NZD/USD fell below the 0.62 line before recovering, coming within a whisker of 0.6996, its lowest level since ...
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Eurozone CPI Inflation Likely to Roar Again

The era of subzero interest rates will conclude in the eurozone next month after a decade, but what is less certain is how fast the monetary tightening phase will develop ...
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Russia Defaulted on its Foreign Sovereign Debt for the First Time in Over a Century

MarketsThe short squeeze on bond markets stopped on Friday. US Treasuries underperformed German Bunds during the WS risk rally (+3%). US yields rose by 4 bps (5-yr) to 5.9 bps ...
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Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: The Housing Market Begins to “Reset”

Summary United States: The Housing Market Begins to “Reset” Fed Chair Powell presented the Federal Reserve’s semiannual Monetary Policy report to Congress this week. In his testimony, he acknowledged that ...
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Forward Guidance: Canadian Economic Growth to Lose Steam Over the Summer

Canadian GDP likely continued its upward climb in April. We expect output to have risen 0.3% in the month, slightly more than Statcan’s initial 0.2% estimate a month ago. We ...
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The Weekly Bottom Line: Canada Inflation Rises to 40-Year High

U.S. Highlights Existing home sales fell 3.4% in May, extending the losing streak to four months. The months’ supply of inventory recorded an uptick, rising to 2.6. This was up ...
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Will Japan’s CPI Inflation Data Move the Yen?

The Bank of Japan has been the black sheep of all central banks, rigidly denying abandoning its ultra-easy monetary policy even if the long-sought inflation pressures have finally showed up ...
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British Pound Yawns as CPI Matches Estimate

UK inflation nudged higher in May, as was expected. The headline release rose to 9.1% YoY, up slightly from the 9.0% gain in April. On a monthly basis, CPI nudged ...
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Eurozone PMIs: Slowing Down But No Recession Yet

The flash PMI releases by S&P Global are one of the monthly highlights of the Eurozone calendar as the forward-looking indices tend to track GDP growth in the euro area ...
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Key Takeaways from Today’s RBA Communique and What it Means for AUDUSD

Following last week’s mega moves by central banks, the calendar this week allows central bankers to finetune some of those shifts, starting with a plethora of communique from the RBA ...
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Recapping A Swiss Surprise

Summary Central banks were in the limelight this week, including the Swiss National Bank (SNB). At its June monetary policy meeting, SNB policymakers opted to raise its policy rate, which ...
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Week Ahead: Continued Central Bank Fallout; Powell Testimony

If the PMI data this week comes out worse than expected or Powell seems to be leaning “less hawkish”, interest rate expectations may come down.Activity this week should be based ...
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Trader Thoughts – How Close are We to Japanese JPY Intervention?

USDJPY and the JPY crosses capture the minds of traders – while there’s so much going on in central bank land, the BoJ in its meeting today decided to sit ...
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Fed Policy Meeting: Switching to Sharper Rate Hikes?

The Federal Reserve is undoubtedly expected to approve another jumbo-sized rate hike at the conclusion of its policy meeting on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT. Following the latest surprise pickup in ...
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Kiwi Caught in Fed and Inflation Crossfire, New Zealand GDP Might Not Help

New Zealand’s economy has had a bumpy but strong recovery from the pandemic lockdowns and data due on Thursday (Wednesday, 22:45 GMT) is expected to show GDP kept expanding in ...
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Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: SNB and BoE Hold Policy Meetings Next Week

Summary United States: Prices Push Higher in May, Signaling Little Immediate Relief for Consumers Consumer price inflation continued to push higher in May, with the consumer price index rising more ...
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