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Fundamental analysis of Forex market

RBA Meeting: Managing Rate Hike Expectations

The Reserve Bank of Australia announces its first policy decision of the year on Tuesday at 3:30 GMT. The last time the Bank’s governor, Philip Lowe, spoke in mid-December, he ...
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BoC Policy Meeting: It’s Time for a Rate Hike

The Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to kick off the new year with a rate hike on Wednesday despite its muted communication over the past weeks. With inflation ...
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Aust Q4 CPI – Core Inflation Already Exceeds Peak in RBA’s Forecasts

Headline CPI 1.3%qtr/3.5%yr; trimmed mean 0.97%qtr/2.6%yr, weighted median 0.95%qtr/2.7%yr. Core inflation is now above the mid-point of the RBA’s inflation target, not something the RBA was expecting in its forecast ...
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Asian Open: Flash PMI’s in Focus, AUD Probes Trend Support

Flash PMI data is released across Asia, Europe and the US. And on the back of last week’s risk-off week then markets may be more sensitive to soft data should ...
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Eurozone PMIs: Another Dose of Bad News?

The latest PMI business surveys for the euro area will hit the markets early on Monday, starting with the French numbers at 08:15 GMT. Forecasts suggest the Eurozone economy lost ...
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Crude Oil Price Maintains Bullish Momentum

US equities turned positive on Wednesday after strong quarterly earnings by Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, and Procter & Gamble. The two banks published better-than-expected results, which were helped by ...
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Equities Under Fire, Dollar Shines as Yields Soar

Stocks remain under pressure as traders position for Fed hikes Dollar outperforms, yen benefits from risk aversion, euro hammered Oil prices keep going, Canadian inflation stats in the spotlight All ...
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US Bond Yields Had a Roaring Start

Markets US bond yields had a roaring start coming out of a long weekend during early morning trading hours. We’ve distinguished some general drivers for the aggressive bond selloff. First, ...
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Could Canadian Inflation Power Loonie’s Rally?

The Canadian dollar could face fresh volatility when December’s CPI inflation data come out on Tuesday at 12:30 GMT. Forecasts point to another pickup and investors are highly confident that ...
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Canada’s Manufacturing Sector Recovery Continued in November    

Canada’s manufacturing sales increased 2.6% (month/month) in November, following a 4.6% increase in October. The outturn was still solid after accounting for price effects, with manufacturing shipment volumes up 1.9% ...
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Chinese GDP Growth Continued to Lose Steam

MarketsUS retail data on Friday printed softer than expected. Headline sales declined 1.9% M/M and control group sales (-3.1% M/M), a proxy for consumption in GDP, missed the consensus by ...
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Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: U.S. Dollar Stumbles to Start the Year

Summary United States: Not Through with 2021 Just Yet Inflation is intensifying and consumer activity is cooling, data covering the month of December reveal. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose ...
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The Weekly Bottom Line: Eyeing Inflation Like a Hawk

U.S. Highlights Equity markets saw further losses this week, following more hawkish messaging from the Fed. Between Powell and Brainard’s confirmation hearings and other Fed speakers, the signals for a ...
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Week Ahead: Russia, BoJo, and Earnings Season Ahead

After three meetings with NATO and its allies over Ukraine left both sides at an impasse, signals are beginning to emerge that Russia may be ready to invade Ukraine. Will ...
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BoJ to Defy Peers, Stay on Dovish Course, But for How Long?

The Bank of Japan will conclude its first monetary policy meeting of 2022 on Tuesday and publish an updated set of economic forecasts. So far, the BoJ has been excluded ...
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Digital Revolution: Will Cryptocurrencies Take Over the World? Part II

Part II: Are Stablecoins Really “Stable”?Summary Stablecoins, which are a category of digital currency, have many favorable characteristics. Payments can be settled essentially instantaneously, and “unbanked” individuals can easily use ...
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Will Oil Drop to $60 or Rise to $100 in 2022?

Predicting oil prices is a difficult job at the best of times. Still, it is increasingly difficult as COVID-19 and its variants continue to suspend consumers’ plans and disrupt the ...
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Stocks Under Pressure on Faster Stimulus Withdrawal Signals

Global bond yields hit fresh highs; stocks retreatThe Fed’s new message, which sparked fears that inflation could be tough to contain, and hence could require faster-than-expected rate hikes during the ...
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EURUSD Rises as Bets of Tighter Fed Remain

The EURUSD pair soared to the highest level since January 3 as investors reacted to mixed US non-farm payrolls (NFP) data. Data published on Friday revealed that the American economy ...
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Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Strong Momentum Prior to Omicron, Despite December’s Soft Payroll Print

Summary United States: Strong Momentum Prior to Omicron, Despite December’s Soft Payroll Print The Fed’s more hawkish tone in December’s FOMC minutes set the tone for financial markets this week, ...
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