WTI Oil Outlook: Recovery Extends as Strong Downside Pressure Eases on Output Cut Hopes

Technical analysis of Forex market

WTI oil price holds in green for a third straight day and extends recovery after 12-day uninterrupted fall.

Hopes that OPEC may cut production and stabilize oil price which held in steep descend for six consecutive weeks, marking over 20% fall, so far offset negative signals from another strong rise in US oil inventories (API 8.79 and EIA 10.27 mln bls build).

Profit-taking after strong fall and reviving daily indicators, deeply in oversold territory, could help recovery.

– advertisement –


Initial bullish signal could be expected on Friday’s close above cracked weekly cloud base, after strong downside rejection just under key Fibo support at $55.35 (61.8% of $42.04/$76.88).

North-turning daily indicators show a plenty of space at the upside for extension towards pivotal barrier at $59.11 (falling 10SMA), break of which would firm near-term bulls for further recovery.

The recovery would strongly depend of improvement of very negative short-term sentiment and may stall if major oil producers do not proceed with freshly announced plans for output cut.

Res: 57.86; 59.11; 60.00; 61.27
Sup: 56.61; 55.57; 55.35; 54.74