XAU/USD Outlook: Bears Look For Extension Below $1459 Pivot As Thick Daily Cloud Weighs

Technical analysis of Forex market

Spot gold bounced from new five-week low, posted after 1.5% fall previous day, but recovery was so far limited and stalled at $1472, maintaining firm bearish tone.

The yellow metal was hurt by fresh optimism as US and China came close to get the first phase of their trade deal done, that boosted risk appetite.

Thursday’s fall came tick away from key support at $1459 (1 Oct low), loss of which would signal an end of $1459/$1519 consolidative phase and risk further weakness.

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Break of $1459 pivot would risk test of key Fibo support at $1445 (38.2% of $1266/$1557 bull-leg).

Daily techs are in bearish setup, with gold being on track for the biggest weekly loss in two years that adds to negative outlook.

However, oversold daily stochastic warns that the price may show further hesitation to break lower and hold in extended consolidation.

Broken 100DMA ($1476) and daily cloud base ($1478) is expected to limit upticks and keep bears in play.

Res: 1472, 1476, 1478, 1482
Sup: 1465, 1459, 1453, 1445