US 30 Index Returns Lower After Spike To Record High

Technical analysis of Forex market

The US 30 index posted an aggressive spike towards a fresh all-time high of 30,091.18 on Monday before returning near the previous high of 28,945.

Momentum indicators in the daily chart are currently supporting that positive momentum is likely to strengthen in the short-term. Specifically, the RSI is picking up speed slightly below the overbought region and the MACD continues to distance itself above its trigger line.

Should the price move higher again, the bulls could extend the uptrend towards the aforementioned record high before the price enters uncharted paths such as 30,500 and 31,000.

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On the other hand, a decline could meet immediate support at 28,945, which the market was unable to break over the last sessions. Slightly lower, the price could rest around the 40-day SMA, which overlaps with the mid-Bollinger band ahead of the 200-day SMA at 27,538. Marginally below these levels, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 18,145 to 30,091.18 at 27,288 could come into focus. Below that, the 200-day SMA and the 26,077 support are the next targets.

Summarizing, the short-term bias is bullish though the index could be close to overbought levels, with the long-term outlook also being positive.