Turkish lira extends gains vs the US dollar and hit the highest levels in six weeks on Thursday. Recent action of Turkish central bank which rose interest rates by unexpected 625 basis points, started to give stronger results. Investors need some time to regain trust after the CBRT initially failed in previous rate decisions to properly tackle rising inflation, which along with crisis in emerging markets, resulted in lira’s fall to the record low August.
Fresh strength of lira after rate hike shows positive signals and could give stronger results this time.
Today’s penetration of daily cloud (6.1207/5.8097) which marked strong support and test of 5.9590 support (Fibo 76.4% of 5.6875/6.8379) was positive signal.
Fresh lira’s bulls eye rising 55SMA (5.8058) the last obstacle on the way to key support at 5.6876 (16 Aug low), break of which would generate strong bullish signal on completion of failure swing pattern on daily chart.
Bearishly aligned daily techs maintain negative outlook for USDTRY pair.
Res: 6.1270; 6.1976; 6.2234; 6.2868
Sup: 5.9576; 5.8058; 5.7493; 5.6875
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