Dovish Fed Warned that Recovery Path Dependent on Virus, Pledged to Add More Stimulus when Needed
The Fed sent a more dovish message at the July meeting, although the monetary policy, as well as the accompanying statement, stayed largely unchanged. Despite improvement of data flow, the members warned that the pace of recovery is depending on...
FOMC Preview – Preparing for Changes in Monetary Policy
The upcoming FOMC meeting aims at preparing the market for changes in the monetary policy in September. At the meeting this week, the Fed will keep its policy measures unchanged at this week’s meeting, i.e., the Fed funds rate will...
RBA Minutes: Risks to Recovery Skewed to Downside as July Meeting Had No Discussion about Impacts of Melbourne’s Lockdown
The minutes for RBA’s July meeting affirmed that policymakers should leave the current monetary measures steady for a prolonged period of time. Policymakers at the July meeting did not discuss about the surge in new coronavirus cases in Melbourne and...
ECB: Lagarde Reiterated to Use All EUR 1.35 trillion of Emergency Purchases to Lift Inflation
ECB at the July meeting maintained all the monetary policy measures unchanged. President Christine Lagarde acknowledged the encouraging economic recovery in May and June. She also suggested that the rebound will continue into 3Q20, as supported by monetary and fiscal...
BOC Pledges to Continue with Easing Until Inflation Returned to +2% Sustainably.
As widely anticipated, BOC maintained both the policy rate and all the asset purchases programs unchanged at the July meeting. While acknowledged positive economic developments since the last meeting, policymakers cautioned that the economy’s recuperation will be slow and pledged...
ECB Preview – Sounding Cautiously Optimistic on Economic Recovery
After the big move in June, ECB is likely to keep its powder this month. At this week’s meeting, we expect the central bank to acknowledge the improvement in economic activities, mainly driven by consumption. However, the members will remain...
BOC to Turn More Upbeat about Economic Recovery, While Caution about Uncertainty and Keep Monetary Policy Unchanged.
At the BOC meeting this week, we expect new Governor Tiff Macklem to continue Stephen Poloz’s legacy and leave the policy rate unchanged at 0.25%, the effective lower bound. The asset purchases programs (QE) will also be maintained. Canada’s reopening...
BOJ Preview: Maintaining Negative Rates and QE, while Downgrading Economic Forecasts
While we expect BOJ to maintain all of its monetary policy measures unchanged, the central bank would likely downgrade the economic forecasts for FY2020. BOJ’s Tankan survey revealed that companies of all sectors were worse off in 2Q20, sending the...
RBA Left Monetary Policy Unchanged. Second Wave in Outbreak Signals Huge Downside Risks
As widely anticipated, RBA left the cash rate unchanged at 0.25%. It also maintained yield curve control, targeting 3-year government bond yield at 0.25%. While the members were more upbeat about the near-term recovery, they remained cautious about the longer-term...
FOMC Minutes: Changes in Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases could Come in September
The FOMC minutes for the June meeting revealed that the members had rigorous discussion about forward guidance, asset purchases and yield curve caps/targets. We expect the framework review will be completed this month, allowing the Fed to announce changes in...
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