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FOMC Minutes Reveal Dovish Notes Which Were Hidden in December

To us, the message conveyed in the FOMC minutes for the December meeting was somehow different from those at the post-meeting press conference. From the post-meeting statement and Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, we judged that the Fed turned a bit...

AdminJan 10, 2019

Central banks news

BOC Pushed Back Timing for Next Rate Hike, Trimmed GDP Growth and Inflation Forecasts for 2019

As we expected, BOC left the policy rate unchanged at 1.75% in yesterday. Policymakers admitted that the decline in oil price has “material” impact on the economy. Yet, they viewed the impact as transitory. Reflecting the view on economy projections,...

AdminJan 10, 2019

Central banks news

BOC Preview – No Change in Rates, Dovish Stance Accompanied by Modest Forecast Downgrades

We expect BOC to leave the policy rate unchanged at 1.75% at the upcoming meeting this week. Besides releasing the statement and Monetary Policy Report, the central bank would also update the economic forecasts and host a press conference. The...

AdminJan 7, 2019

Central banks news

BOE Turns Dovish as Brexit Deadline Nears, Yet No Deal is Secured

BOE voted 9-0 to leave the Bank rate unchanged at 0.75% in December. The committee also voted unanimously to leave the asset purchase program at 435B pound .It has turned more cautious than November, warning that Brexit uncertainty has “intensified...

AdminDec 20, 2018

Central banks news

FOMC Review – Fed Not As Dovish As Expected

The December FOMC meeting outcome is expected, yet unexpected. As widely anticipated, it raised the policy rate, by +25 bps, to 2.25-2.5%. The IOER rate was raised by +20bps. The members trimmed the rate hike forecasts to two, form three,...

AdminDec 20, 2018

Central banks news

BOJ: Loss in Communication Hinders Policy Effectiveness

The government of Japan downgrades its forecasts on GDP growth and inflation for the coming years. This evidences the failure of the transmission mechanism of the monetary policy adopted by the Bank of Japan. We believe the central bank has...

AdminDec 18, 2018

Central banks news

BOE Probably Turns More Cautious amid Brexit Uncertainty

At the meeting later in the week, BOE would most likely leave the Bank rate unchanged at 0.75%. It would also keep the purchases of gilts and corporate bonds remain at 435B pound and 10B pound, respectively. BOE sounded hawkish...

AdminDec 18, 2018

Central banks news

Fed Likely Hikes Rate in December, Future Path More Dovish

While the majority of market participants (including us) expects the Fed to raise the policy rate, by +25 bps, to 2.25-2.5% at the December meeting, this is far from fully priced in. CME’s Fed funds futures suggest that the market...

AdminDec 17, 2018

Central banks news

ECB’s Reinvestment of QE Proceeds Would Well- Pass First Rate Hike. Growth Outlook Downgraded

ECB made a much of announcement at the December meeting. Yet, most of them had been widely anticipated by the market. What we want was confirmation. The members formally indicated that the asset purchase program (QE) would end by this...

AdminDec 14, 2018

Central banks news

ECB Preview – Focus on Reinvestment Plan, New Round of TLTRO

The market is closely watching ECB’s policy after QE. At the upcoming meeting next week, ECB would announce its plan to reinvest the maturing bonds. Meanwhile, market speculations are rising that the central bank would soon announce a new round...

AdminDec 5, 2018

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Category: Central banks news

FOMC Minutes Reveal Dovish Notes Which Were Hidden in December

BOC Pushed Back Timing for Next Rate Hike, Trimmed GDP Growth and Inflation Forecasts for 2019

BOC Preview – No Change in Rates, Dovish Stance Accompanied by Modest Forecast Downgrades

BOE Turns Dovish as Brexit Deadline Nears, Yet No Deal is Secured

FOMC Review – Fed Not As Dovish As Expected

BOJ: Loss in Communication Hinders Policy Effectiveness

BOE Probably Turns More Cautious amid Brexit Uncertainty

Fed Likely Hikes Rate in December, Future Path More Dovish

ECB’s Reinvestment of QE Proceeds Would Well- Pass First Rate Hike. Growth Outlook Downgraded

ECB Preview – Focus on Reinvestment Plan, New Round of TLTRO

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