Trade Tailwinds, RRR Study, Dollar Depreciation, Oil’s Improving Demand Outlook, Gold’s Bright Outlook, Bitcoin Found Support
US stocks remain close to record highs as trade tensions abated further after China cut tariffs on an array of goods including frozen pork, pharmaceuticals, smart-phone parts, and consumer items starting on January 1st, another sign that the phase-one deal...
Quiet Start to Holiday-Shortened Trading Week
Notes/Observations China to adjust import tariffs for some products starting on Jan 1st 2020: To allow 859 items with preferential tariffs Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga: Has not eased export controls on South Korea; changes to controls are just procedural...
Euro Remains Unimpressed by Cyclical Tailwinds
Market movers today As the festive season approaches and Christmas calm settles in the markets, the data flow in Europe and the US will slow this week. In the UK, PM Boris Johnson continues to aim to get his Brexit...
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary: Expansion Poised to Continue into the Next Decade
U.S. Review Expansion Poised to Continue into the Next Decade President Trump became the third president in U.S. history to be impeached by the House, but removal by the Senate is highly unlikely. The House also passed the USMCA, which...
The Weekly Bottom Line: Hope for Good Tidings in 2020
U.S. Highlights The House’s impeachment of President Trump did little to detract from broader economic optimism. U.S. equity markets reached new highs this week. Housing and consumer spending data released this week confirmed the narrative of resilient U.S. household demand....
Forward Guidance: Gearing Down for Holidays, But With Some Key Data Ahead
In a week that featured a pre-holiday flurry of (broadly weak) Canadian economic data and plenty of political drama south of the border, the federal government’s Economic and Fiscal Update was in our view the most surprising development. While the...
Market in Holiday Mode Despite Impeachment and Brexit
The US economy looks resilient despite never-ending trade war concerns, President Trump’s impeachment process, and softer economic data as investors take comfort that the Fed is on hold, the US consumer is strong, and we have yet to see any...
Is the Fed on the Right Path?
The FOMC’s recent rate cuts have brought the fed funds rate closer to our estimation of the optimal policy rate. In line with our forecast, this suggests the Fed should remain on hold for the foreseeable future. Reassessing What is...
Week Ahead – Markets to Enter Holiday Lull, But Mind the Volatility Risk
As 2019 draws to a close, markets are set to enter a quiet period over the next couple of weeks, with no central bank meetings on the agenda and little economic data to keep traders entertained. That doesn’t mean that...
Norges Bank And Cyclical Recovery Make NOK Great Again
Market movers today The main release today is the US PCE core inflation and real consumer spending for November. The PCE inflation is the measure the Fed is targeting. Consensus looks for a small decline in core PCE inflation to...
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Trading education
Introduction to Basic Trendline AnalysisIn this series we will piece together the anatomy of a swing trade and discuss ... 
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