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Category: Fundamental analysis of Forex market

Inflation Risks and the Rate Conundrum, Dollar Hangs in There

Risk evaporates and US Industrial production disappoints Market sentiment has softened and the dollar remains subdued. Expectations that the Fed is preparing to taper is keeping the reserve currency afloat as well as the push up in the 10-year yield close to 1.62%. Inflation risks seem to be pushing central banks to take action, as …

Inflation Risks and the Rate Conundrum, Dollar Hangs in ThereRead More

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Growing Pains Still Plaguing U.S. Economy

Summary United States: Growing Pains Still Plaguing U.S. Economy Consumer prices, retail sales and U.S. workers quitting their jobs all topped expectations in September. This week’s economic data provided additional evidence that the economy is struggling to find an equilibrium 18 months into the global pandemic. Next week: Industrial Production (Monday), Housing Starts (Tuesday), Existing …

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Growing Pains Still Plaguing U.S. EconomyRead More

The Weekly Bottom Line: Inflation Pressures Remain Elevated

U.S. Highlights The consumer price index rose 0.4% in September, sending year-on-year inflation to 5.4%. Core prices (excluding food and energy) rose 0.2% on the month and held steady at 4.0% y/y. A 0.4% increase in the heavily-weighted shelter component provided considerable lift to the core measure. Retail sales defied expectations for a pullback in …

The Weekly Bottom Line: Inflation Pressures Remain ElevatedRead More

Week Ahead: Will Risk-on Continue if there is Stronger Data this Week?

Last week was quiet as far as news was concerned, and the markets were left to themselves to act without an obvious catalyst.  While the chatter was on higher US inflation and stronger bank earnings, markets seemed to brush them aside and buy “risky” assets.  Is a November taper announcement priced in? One of those …

Week Ahead: Will Risk-on Continue if there is Stronger Data this Week?Read More

Week Ahead: Rising Prices Raise Stakes for Rapid Rate Increases

All about Inflation Wall Street still remains upbeat despite growing an energy crisis that threatens the economic recovery, widespread price increases, and mixed economic data.  It seems that inflation will remain elevated for a lot longer than the Fed imagined, but a rapid rate-hiking cycle will not translate into an immediate ending of negative real …

Week Ahead: Rising Prices Raise Stakes for Rapid Rate IncreasesRead More

Forward Guidance: Inflation in Focus in BoC Surveys and Canadian CPI Data

Canada’s headline inflation rate likely rose again in September, to 4.2% year over year—the highest level since 2003. Outside of volatile food and energy products, it probably rose 3.3%. Faster growth in shelter-related expenses likely remained a key driver of price growth alongside higher prices at the pump. Year-over-year rates of increase continue to be …

Forward Guidance: Inflation in Focus in BoC Surveys and Canadian CPI DataRead More

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