Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary: Piecing Together an Outlook with Limited Data
U.S. Review Catching Up On What Was Missing From Q4 The ISM non-manufacturing index fell 1.3 points in January to a still relatively robust 56.7. The U.S. trade deficit narrowed by a surprising $6.4 billion in November, as imports slowed...
The Weekly Bottom Line: Central Banks Have Cause For a Pause
U.S. Highlights Global central banks have followed the cue set by the Fed, as they too take a break from tighter monetary policy to assess mounting risks to global growth. Activity in the U.S. services sector cooled a bit in...
Week Ahead: China Returns, Lots of Macro Events and Brexit
We saw a U-turn in risk-sensitive assets in mid-week as stocks, crude oil and commodity dollars all fell after a bright start. The “risk-off” trade continued to dominate the agenda on Friday when this report was written, with US indices...
Dollar’s Next Move Depends on Trump’s Trade Progress and Border Wall Funding Concession
The relief rally in equities appears to have run out of steam as risk aversion gained momentum on concerns trade talks are not progressing fast enough and global growth fails to show signs of stabilization, despite accommodative stances globally. The...
Australia & New Zealand Weekly: RBA Shifts to a More Balanced View
Week beginning 11 February 2019 RBA shifts to a more balanced view. RBA: Head of Economics and Assistant Governor Financial Markets speak. Australia: Westpac-MI Consumer Sentiment, housing finance, NAB business survey. NZ: RBNZ meeting, RBNZ Governor Orr testimony, card spending,...
UK GDP Growth to Decelerate in Q4
The Bank of England joined its dovish counterparts on Thursday after leaving interest rates steady as expected amid mounting fears that Brexit coinciding with a global economic slowdown could further sink British markets. Of more importance, policymakers surprisingly decided to cut...
Week Ahead – Japanese & UK Q4 GDP in Focus; Kiwi Readies for Dovish Noises from RBNZ
Japan and the United Kingdom will be next to publish economic growth numbers for the final quarter of 2018, while the Eurozone will release its second GDP estimate for the period. Inflation data out of the US and the UK...
Weekly Focus – Signs of a German Sector Recovery
This publication has been prepared by Danske Markets for information purposes only. It is not an offer or solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell any financial instrument. Whilst reasonable care has been taken to ensure that its contents...
Canadian January Employment Bounces Back
Highlights: Employment jumped 66.8k which was up strongly from the 7.8k recorded in December and market expectations of a 5k increase. The solid increase in employment did not prevent an unexpectedly large 0.2 percentage point jump in the unemployment rate...
Relief Rally Overextended as Skepticism Grows on Trade and Growth
US stocks are poised for their worst week since December on trade worries and global growth concerns. Yesterday’s news that the President Trump is highly unlikely to meet President Xi before the March 1st deadline intensified trade worries. While expectations remain...
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