China Weekly Letter: US-China Rivalry Here to Stay Despite Possible Ceasefire
Key points this week Lots of speculation about the Xi-Trump meeting Economic data points to more weakness short term Trade deal or not – rivalry here to stay Continued speculation about the Xi-Trump meeting A lot of stories about the...
Australia & New Zealand Weekly: Mixed Signals on Housing but Adjustment Process Seems Likely to Have Further to Run
Week beginning 19 November 2018 Mixed signals on housing but adjustment process likely to have further to run. Australia: RBA Governor Lowe speaks, RBA Minutes, Westpac-MI Leading Index. NZ: net migration. Europe: ECB minutes, EU Brexit Summit. UK: BOE Governor...
Week Ahead – Italy and Brexit Risks to Remain Elevated ahead of Thanksgiving Weekend
The coming week will be an unusually quiet one for economic releases but political developments in Britain and Italy will likely provide plenty of volatility for traders. As the UK prime minister, Theresa May, scrambles to save her Brexit deal...
Week Ahead: Growth Concerns and Brexit Key Focal Points for FX and Stocks
The pound is probably where we might find heightened volatility again next week, although the potential is there for the US dollar or the stock markets to actually steal the show – for all the wrong reasons. But in any...
Brexit Monitor: Decent Brexit Still Base Case But Uncertainty Has Risen
Key dates Very near term: Will there be a no-confidence vote in Theresa May? If the threshold of 48 letters is triggered, the vote may come very quickly. 25 November: Extraordinary EU summit on Brexit. Deal due to be signed....
Wall Street Ends Five-Day Losing Streak, Sterling Plummets
U.S. stocks finally managed to end a five-day losing streak yesterday supported by the Tech, Financial and Energy sectors, thanks to unofficial reports stating that further U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports would be put on hold. Although U.S. Trade Representative...
Calm Before The Storm As Sterling Halfs Decline
Yesterday, sterling dropped sharply after Brexit Minister Dominic Raab resigned. This was the biggest drop since the day the UK voted to leave the EU. In the Asian session, sterling was little moved as traders waited for an indication of...
British Pound Plunges as May Under Attack Over Brexit Deal
GBP/USD is down sharply in the Thursday session, as the turmoil over Brexit has weighed heavily on the British pound. In North American trade, the pair is trading at 1.2758, down 1.77% on the day. On the release front, British...
US: Retail Sales Rebound in October
After disappointing in September, retail sales advanced by 0.8% m/m in October – well ahead of expectations for a 0.5% gain. The weak September print was revised down further to -0.1% from 0.1% gain reported previously. Sales at autos and...
Sterling Shows Signs Of Life, Bitcoin Crashes!
Sterling cameback to life on Wednesday after Theresa May won cabinet support for her Brexit deal. GBPUSD rallied more 170 pips on the news, but gave up some of the initial gains to settle around 1.30 towards the end of...
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