How Much More Is the Fed Likely to Tighten?
We use an analytical framework we recently developed to inform our view of Fed policy going forward. We...
A New Framework for Estimating the Optimal Policy Interest Rate
Executive Summary A primary tool of monetary policy is the federal funds rate (FFR), which is the rate...
Channel One’s Confidence
Channel one’s confidence USDJPY and Emerging markets traded with a more positive tone overnight, although EM is hardly...
Canadian August Housing Starts Moderate
Highlights: August housing starts unexpectedly dropped 2.3% in the month to an annualized 201.0k from 205.8k in July....
Canada Housing Starts Unexpectedly Drop in August
Canadian housing starts dipped to 201.0k (annualized) units in August, down 2.3% from July’s 205.8k level. The pace...
GBP/JPY Carving Out a Bottom?
This morning saw European equity indices fall sharply with the DAX hitting a new multi-month low, before bouncing...
Week Ahead: Volatility Should Remain Elevated
It is going to be a busy week in the markets, particularly for the pound with the upcoming...
Another Brexit Bounce
Another Brexit bounce Global investors were encouraged by a breakthrough on the European political landscape when reports suggested...
GBP/USD Back Above 1.30 as Barnier says Brexit Deal “Realistic” in 6-8 Weeks
Sometimes, it’s best to keep the analysis simple. As the informal “deadline” for a Brexit deal draws nearer,...
UK Employment Report Due as Sterling Attempts a Rebound
The British pound saw a recovery in recent days, aided by a more conciliatory tone by the EU...
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Trendline Analysis: Complete Trading Guide 2026✅ Updated: July 2026 📑 Table of Contents 1. What Is Trendline Analysis? 2. Types ... 
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