TRY/JPY 1H Chart: Two Scenarios Likely

Technical analysis of Forex market

The Turkish Lira has been appreciating against the Japanese Yen within the ascending channel since the beginning of May. As apparent on the chart, the TRY/JPY currency pair is testing its lower boundary at 18.80.

From a theoretical perspective, short-term advance is expected, as the exchange rate could reverse south to target the upper channel line located in the 19.90/20.00 range. If the given trend holds, a general direction is expected to remain north.

However, note, that the rate is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs, currently located in the 18.99/18.13 range. Thus, the pair could breach the given channel south and go downwards to the Fibonacci 61.80% retracement at 18.25.

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