The Euro tested both boundaries of five-day range (1.1066/1.1113) on Thursday, but failed to break on either side, as price action in Asia/Europe/early US session is presented in long-legged Doji daily candle that signal strong indecision.
Conflicting daily indicators (momentum heads south while stochastic is rising) add to neutral near-term tone.
All eyes are on Jackson Hole symposium and speech of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who is expected to give more details about monetary policy in coming months.
Strong expectations about aggressive cuts were cooled down by less hawkish than expected Fed minutes on Wednesday and today’s comments of Kansas City President George, who supports idea of keeping rates at current levels until signs that the US economy is changing direction.
On the other side, expectations for extending rate cuts at stronger pace in coming months, exist among traders.
Scenario of softer tone from Fed would boost dollar and risk Euro’s final attack at psychological 1.10 support.
Conversely, the single currency may regain traction and accelerate higher if Powell signals further policy easing.
Res: 1.1113; 1.1128; 1.1137; 1.1162
Sup: 1.1063; 1.1042; 1.1027; 1.1000
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