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FOMC Review – Gradual Rate Hike Path Remains Intact and Economic Assessment Upgraded

The August FOMC statement contained few changes, following quite remarkable amendments in the June one. The only change came from the upgrade in the assessment of the economic developments. Interestingly, Chair Powell’s “for now” qualifier on the rate hike path...

AdminAug 2, 2018

Central banks news

BOE Expected to Deliver Dovish Rate Hike in August

BOE’s rate hike in August is almost fully priced in. The focus is, thus, on the monetary policy outlook. The upcoming increase of +25 bps is the second one in more than a decade. Although the pickup in growth in...

AdminAug 1, 2018

Central banks news

BOJ Introduced Forward Guidance and Made Subtle Changes in YCC

BOJ made some changes in its unconventional monetary policy in July. We believe these changes sent a dovish message that it takes longer time than previous anticipated for inflation to reach the +2% target. At this meeting, BOJ introduced forward...

AdminJul 31, 2018

Central banks news

Fed Prepares for Rate Hike in September

The upcoming FOMC meeting later this week aims at preparing the market for another +25 bps rate hike in September. As no press conference and economic projections would follow the August meeting, the post-meeting statement, and the minutes three weeks...

AdminJul 31, 2018

Central banks news

BOC Review – Raised Growth Outlook but Upbeat Business Investment Might Diminish in Coming Years

BOC delivered its fourth post-crisis rate hike in July. While the increase of +25 bps had been widely anticipated, the accompanying statement and the updated growth forecasts appear more hawkish. While raising GDP growth outlook for 2019 and 2020, BOC’s...

AdminJul 12, 2018

Central banks news

BOC Preview – Rate Hike Fully Priced In, Data and Trade with US Continue to Guide Future Path

Since the BOC meeting in May, at which the policymakers removed the “cautious” rhetoric, the market has been raising its bet on a July rate hike. As of today, the market has priced in over 90% chance of a +25...

AdminJul 9, 2018

Central banks news

FOMC Minutes: Members Urged Attentions on Yield Curve, Change in Forward Guidance

The FOMC minutes for the June meeting revealed that the members were confident over the growth and inflation outlook, although they acknowledged intensifying trade conflicts. There were discussions over the term structure of interest rates. While many of them were...

AdminJul 6, 2018

Central banks news

RBA Left Cash Rate Unchanged at 1.5%, Content with Aussie Depreciation

RBA left the cash rate unchanged at 1.5% for a 21st meeting in July. The outcome had been widely anticipated. Indeed, the market has expected no interest rate adjustment at least until late 2019. As a result, market reaction outcome...

AdminJul 3, 2018

Central banks news

RBNZ More Dovish in June Meeting

RBNZ left the OCR unchanged at 1.75%. While the central bank reiterated its “neutral” monetary policy stance, the accompanying statement revealed that policymakers have turned slightly more dovish than previous months. The members were concerned about global trade tensions and...

AdminJun 28, 2018

Central banks news

BOE Voted 6-3 to Keep Rate at 0.5%, QE Tapering Might Come Sooner

Surprisingly, BOE voted 6-3 to leave the Bank rate on hold at 0.50%. Chief economist Andy Haldane joined Ian McCafferty and Michael Saunders in opting for a +25bps rate hike. The outcome is more hawkish than consensus of a 7-2...

AdminJun 21, 2018

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Category: Central banks news

FOMC Review – Gradual Rate Hike Path Remains Intact and Economic Assessment Upgraded

BOE Expected to Deliver Dovish Rate Hike in August

BOJ Introduced Forward Guidance and Made Subtle Changes in YCC

Fed Prepares for Rate Hike in September

BOC Review – Raised Growth Outlook but Upbeat Business Investment Might Diminish in Coming Years

BOC Preview – Rate Hike Fully Priced In, Data and Trade with US Continue to Guide Future Path

FOMC Minutes: Members Urged Attentions on Yield Curve, Change in Forward Guidance

RBA Left Cash Rate Unchanged at 1.5%, Content with Aussie Depreciation

RBNZ More Dovish in June Meeting

BOE Voted 6-3 to Keep Rate at 0.5%, QE Tapering Might Come Sooner

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