RBA Sticks with Tapering in September, Shrugging Off Short-term Impacts of Lockdown
Surprisingly, the RBA remained optimistic about the economic outlook despite the lockdown in various states over the past weeks. At today’s meeting, the members decided to go ahead with QE tapering from September and upgraded economic forecasts. The central bank...
RBA Preview – Delaying Taper and Downgrading Near-Term Growth Forecasts
We expect the RBA to postpone the tapering policy announced last month. It will also downgrade GDP growth forecast for this year and revise the unemployment rate higher. All the above changes are driven by the unexpected lockdown in New...
FOMC Review: Economy Moving Toward Inflation and Employment Goals. FOMC Minutes and Jackson Holes in Focus
The Fed sounded cautiously optimistic at the July meeting. The members acknowledged continued improvements in economic activities and that “the economy has made progress toward” the “maximum employment and price stability goals”. While leaving all monetary policy measures unchanged, Chair...
FOMC Preview – Policy Stance to Stay Intact Despite Surging Inflation
With no updates on median dot plots and economic projections, the focus of this week’s FOMC meeting would be the policy statement and the press conference. Since the June meeting, inflation has continued to accelerate. Market optimism was, however, overshadowed...
ECB Pledges to Continue Front-load QE Purchases until Inflation Reaches 2% Sustainable
The ECB has updated the forward guidance on the policy rate, reflecting the new inflation target concluded in the strategic review. All monetary policy measures stay unchanged as it strives to achieve the symmetric 2% inflation target: The deposit rate...
ECB Preview: New Forward Guidance to Reflect New Inflation Target
ECB’s conclusion of the strategy review on July 8 has made this week’s meeting very important. Policymakers adjusted the inflation target to a symmetric 2%, allowing a temporary overshoot. Despite the significant change, no monetary policy is expected to change...
BOC Preview – Hawkish Stance to Maintain with More Tapering
Economic developments since the June meeting suggest that BOC would still maintain an upbeat tone and taper further at this week’s meeting. Policymakers will, however, maintain the forward guidance that the first rate hike would come in 2H22. The staff...
RBNZ Preview – Strong GDP Growth and Inflation Expectations to Anchor RBNZ Optimism
Strong first quarter GDP growth and rapidly rising inflation pressure suggest that the RBNZ would at least maintain a hawkish stance at this week’s meeting. While the monetary policy measures will stay unchanged, policymakers will likely react to market expectations...
FOMC Minutes Reveals that QE Tapering to Begin Later this Year
The FOMC minutes for the June meeting confirmed more optimism over the economic outlook. Unwinding of stimulative monetary policy would likely begin earlier than previously anticipated. As the members would begin tapering discussions in coming months, we expect an announcement...
RBA to Begin QE Tapering in September
As widely anticipated, the RBA announced some changes in the monetary policy. The overall tone of the meeting and the policy statement is upbeat about the economic recovery while cautious over the uncertainty and subdued inflation. Policymakers remain optimistic over...
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