International Growth Outlook Continues to Darken
Executive Summary The global outlook is dominated by negative economic effects of efforts from governments around the world to stem the spread of the coronavirus, as well as low global oil prices. Against this bleak backdrop, we have reduced our...
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary: The Terrible Data (and the Stimulus) Start to Arrive
U.S. Review The Terrible Data (and the Stimulus) Start to Arrive Economic data from the early stages of the Great Shutdown have finally arrived, and they are as bad as feared. ‘Worst on record’ is about to become an all...
Forward Guidance: Dark Data before the Dawn
Economic numbers continue to trickle in for the period most dramatically impacted by social/physical distancing measures. In an unusual step, Statistics Canada released a preliminary estimate of March and Q1 GDP in Canada, with both posting record declines despite virus-control...
Week Ahead: Green Shoots
Green shoots are emerging as discussions have begun as to when to bring life to each person’s hope. As each country, state, city, and town remains in its own coronavirus reality, green shoots are emerging as discussions have begun as...
Weekly Focus – The Fragile Crawl Back Begins
After a long period of bad news on the coronavirus front, we have finally seen more positive developments lately. This is broadly in line with the view we put out in late March in Research COVID-19: Closer to the peak...
COVID Cure, US Exit, Oil, Gold, Libra
Finally Some Good News! In a week of negative economic headlines, it’s certainly encouraging to end on a more positive note and equity markets are surging this morning as a result. The double whammy of US lockdown exit plans and,...
Asset Markets Rally On Gilead Drug Hopes
The stage wasn’t set for a friendly Friday today in Asian markets. Overnight, another 5.25 million Americans lost their jobs overnight, and New York extended its lockdown until mid-May. Today, China’s GDP shrank 6.8% this morning, and its Retail Sales...
Tying it All Together with Copper
Copper is often referred to as “Dr Copper”, as it is often viewed as a gauge of world economic health. The price of copper has turned higher recently, as it is often correlated with the stock prices and commodity currencies,...
Investors Turn Defensive Following A Raft Of Disappointing Economic Data
After climbing to a one month high on Tuesday, the S&P 500 declined 2.2% yesterday and more losses are set to follow today with futures indicating a lower open. It is no surprise that economic data will take a steep...
Australia to Lose Jobs at Fastest Pace Since 2003; Can the Aussie Maintain its Uptrend?
As Australia enters its fourth week of national lockdown, the country looks set to find out what the economic cost of the virus shutdowns has been on the labour market. The employment indicators for March are due on Thursday at...
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