Will German Fiscal Stimulus Be Too Little, Too Late?
The euro area is on the brink of yet another crisis, with Germany likely to enter a technical recession soon, as the export-heavy economy feels the burn of the US-China trade war and of Brexit worries. Although the ECB is...
Melting Hopes: What Emerged In The Fed’s Minutes
The published minutes of the Federal Reserve Board’s previous meeting showed a serious split in opinions on monetary policy. Markets were cautious about the wording that a “couple” of Fed members favoured 50 points rate cut while “several” preferred no...
No Deal Brexit Planning Hits GBP; FOMC Minutes Up Next
The pound fell lower in early trade and has remained in the doldrums ever since, as investors search for signs that the EU may be willing to re-negotiate the Irish backstop. Whilst Boris Johnson is due to visit Chancellor Angela...
US Open – Stock Rally Resumes, Weak Demand For Bunds, Oil Rises On API Report, Gold Steadies, And Bitcoin Falls
Markets are slowly grinding higher as yesterday’s slump disappears following some stability with bond yields. A significant rally however will be difficult until traders have clarity on the Fed’s policy path. Today’s release of the FOMC minutes could show how...
The Boris Johnson Effect May be Fading
UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson came into office with hopes that he was going to be the one who would negotiate a Brexit deal, as former UK Prime Minster Teresa May ran into a brick wall. GBP responded favorably, as...
MARKET WRAP: Stocks Fell, Safe Haven Back In Demand
*Donald Trump may be reversing more tariffs on China but market is still not happy *Italian political turmoil returns for Europe Stocks The S&P 500 Index rolled over today and moved back in negative territory. The index dropped over 0.56%...
The Seeds Of Fiscal Stimulus
The next round of stimulus Long-time readers will know, that I have argued that global central banks are reaching the limits monetary policy stimulus. Looking around the developed world, only the United States has achieved anything like a post-GFC normalisation...
Canadian CPI and Retail Sales Data Unlikely to Halt BoC Rate Cut Bets as Yields Invert
Canada is not synonymous with the trade war and economic slowdown and yet markets are giving warning signs that the country is headed for a recession. Recent economic indicators have been largely encouraging, pointing to accelerated growth. This week’s upcoming...
The USD/JPY Slightly Extended Recent Gains
Markets Friday’s trading session was all about European stimulus hopes following the recession scare from earlier in the week on negative quarterly German GDP figures. The first stimulus headline was monetary related after the WSJ ran an article titled “ECB...
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary: Inversion Aversion
U.S. Review Inversion Aversion Markets gyrated this week as the spread between the ten- and two-year Treasurys turned negative for the first time since 2007, as financial markets seem to expect that the sharp slowdown in growth overseas will soon...
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