Commodities Outlook 2019: Will Precious Metals Shine?
The commodities complex had a particularly volatile run in 2018, with flaring trade tensions, mounting concerns around slowing global growth, and a stronger US dollar being behind the abysmal performance of most commodities. In 2019, the outlook will hinge mainly...
Have We Reached Peak Short Term Market Optimism
Markets With the numerous crosscurrents still in play, US shutdown and Brexit notwithstanding, A mild bout of risk aversion seeped into global markets Friday pressuring US equities, oil prices and US bond yields lower, and we saw mostly US dollar...
China Weekly Letter – Big Jump in CNY on Trade Optimism and Weaker USD
Big move higher in CNY – the tide has turned for the Chinese currency. Trade talks on track – Liu He set to go to Washington later this month. Stimulus is coming for consumers and small businesses. Producer price inflation...
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary: All We Need Is A Little Patience
U.S. Review All We Need Is A Little Patience Fed officials this week reemphasized that they would exercise patience, making a pause in rate hikes in March more likely. The CPI fell 0.1% during December owed to lower energy prices....
The Weekly Bottom Line: Bank of Canada’s Odyssey Continues
U.S. Highlights U.S. equity markets built on last Friday’s gains, firming up for the second consecutive week. Seemingly-fruitful trade negotiations between the U.S. and China offered notable support. With respect to data, both the ISM non-manufacturing index and small business...
Fed’s Dovishness Confirmed – Focus Shifts to Brexit and Earning Season
The US dollar continues to weaken in 2019, this week’s decline was supported by the Fed’s Minutes and a busy week of FOMC talk that cemented views that the Fed can wait on the next interest rate hike. The narrative...
Do Equity Markets Predict Recession?
Highlights On the back of weakening global growth and downgrades to the corporate profit outlook, equity markets are down significantly from 2018 highs. With such a strong swing in market sentiment, discussion has increased on whether the decade long economic...
Week Ahead – Brexit Crunch Time as MPs to Vote on May’s Deal; Inflation Data to Dominate
Brexit fatigue looks set to reach a climax next week as UK lawmakers will finally get their say on Theresa May’s deal. But with little chance of the deal passing through Parliament, stormy days lie ahead for sterling. On the...
Weekly Focus – Recession Fears Abating on Softer Fed Talk
This publication has been prepared by Danske Markets for information purposes only. It is not an offer or solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell any financial instrument. Whilst reasonable care has been taken to ensure that its contents...
US: Inflation Edges Down in December, as Energy Prices Plunge
Consumer prices fell 0.1% (month-on-month) in December, in line with market expectations. The decline largely reflected a 3.5% drop in energy prices – the largest in almost three years and a 2% falloff in transportation. On a year-on-year basis, inflation...
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