Modern Monetary Theory: A Primer
Highlights As economies grapple with low economic growth and inflation, more unconventional macroeconomic policy ideas have come to the fore. The most buzzworthy one is Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). MMT is a set of economic theories which stress the importance...
Be Careful In Trading Oil | HSBC In Need Of Surgery
Oil Net Long Positions Increased Oil is trading lower after posting its biggest weekly gains in nearly 4 weeks. The WTI is up more than 15.58& year-to-date. Traders are optimistic about the trade deal between the US and China which...
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary: When The Upside Is Down, Scale Back Expectations
U.S. Review Looking Back at a Soft Q3 Sales of existing homes fell 2.2% to a 5.38 million-unit pace in September, but sales and prices were still up enough in the quarter that they will add solidly to Q3 GDP...
The Weekly Bottom Line: Liberals Return to Ottawa with a Minority Parliament
U.S. Highlights U.S. markets were in the black this week with limited economic news to digest. There was plenty of action across the pond, with an ECB rate decision and more drama on Brexit. The U.S. data was second tier,...
Forward Guidance: Central Bank Divergence Continues
Next week is a busy one. Both the Bank of Canada and US Federal Reserve will make policy announcements. Key GDP figures for Canada and the US are due, as well as jobs numbers for the latter. In politics, the...
France’s ‘Non’ Dials Up Sterling Pressure
Emmanuel Macron’s tough love and Johnson’s threat to pull his deal sets the pound up for a rougher week ahead Could France, the only country not to have supported giving Britain an extension till the end of January, really be...
Week Ahead – Brexit, Fed, BoC, BoJ and Earnings
Hugely busy week ahead A fascinating week ahead as three major central banks hold monetary policy meetings, with two potentially pulling the trigger on a rate cut. The Fed is the most likely of these with markets pricing in more...
Week ahead – Fed to Cut Rates, Will BoJ Follow? US Payrolls on the Menu Too
There’s a barrage of crucial events coming up next week, with three major central bank meetings and an avalanche of economic data set to dominate the agenda. The Fed is almost certain to cut rates again, but may signal that...
Currencies: Euro Eases (Albeit Modestly) On Soft EMU PMI
Rates: PMI’s and ECB left no significant traces on bondsYesterday’s PMI’s didn’t really convince, notably in Germany, but were quickly categorized by markets. Draghi’s last (pro forma) meeting didn’t really impact bond trading in a lasting way either. Core bonds...
Flash ECB Research: Thank You, Draghi
The ECB meeting today will mostly remembered for Draghi’s last p ress conference and not its monetary policy messages. With QE and tiering not effective yet, there was little news to gauge. Draghi refrained from giving specificities on tiering, but...
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