Forward Guidance: Manufacturers Feeling the Squeeze; Businesses to Report Q2 Conditions
Next week’s flash manufacturing sales report is expected to show a dip in April, weighed down by another sharp pullback in auto production due to the ongoing global semi-conductor shortage. Overall manufacturing hours worked also fell 1.1% in the month....
Week Ahead – PCE Inflation Might Turn Heads as Long March to June Looms
Markets just got their first acknowledgement by the Fed that it may soon need to begin discussions on tapering. However, further clarification is unlikely to come before the next FOMC meeting in June so as we head into a quiet...
EUR/USD Outlook: Euro Risks Deeper Pullback after Bulls Repeatedly Stalled
The Euro lost traction on Friday following comments from ECB President Lagarde who said that it is still too early to discuss policy after the end of central bank’s emergency bond-buying scheme and seeing inflation rise this year as temporary,...
April existing home sales drop, marking three straight months of declines
Daniel Acker | Bloomberg | Getty Images Sales of existing homes dropped 2.7% in April from March to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 5.85 million units, according to the National Association of Realtors. It was the third straight month...
NEW! S&P 500, Dow Jones: Stock Markets Predict Presidential Elections
How Can Stock Markets Impact US Presidential Elections? How can returns in the Dow Jones, S&P 500 influence voters at the polls? This study analyzes the indices 1 year and 3 months before elections Do voters respond to stock performance...
How Societal and Economic Crises Impact US Presidential Elections
Does a Relationship Exist Between the S&P 500 and the US Election Outcome? Beyond policies and history, past data suggests that S&P 500 stock can be used to predict the winner of the US election. The S&P 500 Index has...
Gold Price Implications Around US Presidential Elections
The US Presidential election has a historical tendency to influence financial markets as a change in leadership often brings a shift in fiscal policy. For the price of gold, there has been greater responsiveness to the macroeconomic landscape change since...
CAD Rises after Retail Sales, Euro Tumbles
Canadian Dollar rises in early US session after stronger than expected retail sales data. Sterling is also firm after strong PMIs. But Euro had little reaction to the solid PMI data. Instead, the common currency seems to be reacting to...
How to Trade the Impact of Politics on Global Financial Markets
How to Trade Geopolitical Risks The global economy is showing increasing weakness and fragility Eroding economic fortitude exposes markets to geopolitical risks Examples of political threats in Asia, Latin America and Europe See our free guide to learn how to...
How Do Politics and Central Banks Impact FX Markets?
How Do Politics and Central Banks Impact FX Markets How do monetary and fiscal policy measures impact currency markets? What is the Mundell-Fleming model and why does it matter for FX traders? How has policy from the Fed, ECB and...
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