Reprieve: Roughly 60% of New Tariffs Delayed
Our analysis of today’s announcement of a postponement of a subset of the tariffs on imported Chinese goods suggests that about 60% of the total, or roughly $155 billion worth of goods, will be delayed. The 10% tariff on the...
Sterling Rates Show ‘No-Deal’ Complacency Remains
In terms of pound capitulation, perhaps the worst is yet to come Overview With Boris Johnson pledging billions of pounds in public funding within weeks of becoming Britain’s Prime Minister Westminster and markets are preparing themselves for the possibility of...
USD/CAD Canadian Dollar Lower As Recession Fears Trigger Market Sell Off
The Canadian dollar lost 0.23 percent on Monday. Oil prices could not hold the gains from the Asian session and during the North American session were almost flat. Gold continues to shine as a safe haven alongside with the Japanese...
GBP/USD’s Long-Overdue, but Likely Short-Lived, Bounce
Sometimes, a market becomes so oversold that it can rally even on unsubstantiated rumors or even outright bad news. That looks like it’s the case with GBP/USD today. Over the weekend, The Telegraph reported that Boris Johnson would meet with...
Week Ahead May Provide Volatility As More Uncertainty Prevails
Compared to last week’s somewhat muted action, analysts suggest that this week could have unexpected turns and traders could move in. In the previous days, the US accused China as a currency manipulator. The US accusations followed after the currency...
Down Under For Longer
Executive Summary The recent escalation in U.S.-China trade tensions introduces near-term risks to the Australian economy. As of now, we expect President Trump to impose a 10% tariff on the remaining $300B of United States imports from China, which is...
Weekly Economic and Financial Commentary: Markets Swing as U.S.-China Trade War Escalates
Markets Swing as U.S.-China Trade War Escalates The economic data calendar was pretty quiet this week, but financial markets have been anything but stable. Equity markets plunged and the 10-year Treasury fell to its lowest rate in three years on...
Forward Guidance: Trade Worries Persist, But Current Economic Data Still Looks Firm
US-China trade tensions will continue to dominate concerns about the go-forward economic backdrop. In addition to watching news-headlines…, that should keep focus from a data-perspective on the US industrial sector, which has borne the brunt of Trump Administration tariff hikes...
Cliff Notes: Concerns Over Growth Near and Far
Key insights from the week that was. The past week has been another focused on monetary policy and political matters, both in Australia and offshore. Markets have remained volatile as a result, foreseeing a need for ultra-lose monetary policy to...
Sterling Unchanged Ahead Of Preliminary Q2 GDP Data
The yen moved slightly lower after the Japanese statistics office released the preliminary reading of the second quarter GDP data. Numbers showed that the economy expanded by 1.8%. This was higher than the consensus estimates of 0.4% but lower than...
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