The Weekly Bottom Line: Toward a Lower Neutral Rate, and Not Beyond
U.S. Highlights The American economy grew by 3.2% in the first quarter of 2019, comfortably beating market expectations. However, the strength was driven by inventories and net exports, while domestic demand growth weakened. The housing market continues to be an...
Dollar Rally Stalls ahead of FOMC, NFP, Trade Talks, and Earnings
The US dollar rallied for most of the trading week, but gave back gains on Friday after the US first quarter GDP strong beat was supported by transitory factors and softer core PCE. The headline showed US economic growth accelerated...
Week Ahead: FOMC, NFP and Lots of Macro Data
Next week’s economic calendar is super busy with top tier data from Asia Pacific, Eurozone and the US to look forward to, as well as monetary policy announcements from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. Monday will...
Risk experts never doubted Indonesia
Going places: Jokowi eases through the barriers of the new Jakarta Mass Rapid Transit to continue his journey as Indonesian president Presidential and parliamentary elections held together for the first time in Indonesia earlier in April could be described as...
Wealth management: Bank of Morgan Stanley
In April, Morgan Stanley chief executive James Gorman announced that Shelley O’Connor, who has co-headed the wealth management business since 2016, is taking over the private bank and the institutional banking unit, leaving Andy Saperstein to run wealth management solo....
Sensing a threat they can’t ignore, Wall Street banks instead partner with tech giants like Apple
Apple CEO Tim Cook introduces Apple Card during a launch event at Apple headquarters on Monday, March 25, 2019, in Cupertino, California. Noah Berger | AFP | Getty Images When Apple announced its credit card last month with a big,...
Investors brace for a roller-coaster week ahead with Fed decision and Apple, Alphabet earnings
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell holds a news conference following the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting in Washington, U.S., March 20, 2019. Jonathan Ernst | Reuters Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to emphasize the Fed...
Forward Guidance: Canada GDP Growth Tracking Soft Q1, But as Soft as BoC Expects?
Canada’s February GDP report will help set the near-term growth narrative following the Bank of Canada’s well-telegraphed shift to a neutral policy bias in the April 24th policy announcement and Monetary Policy Report. We agree that recent growth/inflation trends make...
Deutsche Bank has no plan B
Christian Sewing, CEO of Deutsche Bank The day after ending merger talks with Commerzbank, Christian Sewing, chief executive of Deutsche Bank, put on his bravest face to announce a 9% decline in revenues during the first quarter of 2019 compared with...
Euro Bears Frustrated by Mixed US Data but More Evidence Needed to Signal Reversal
The EURUSD stayed at familiar levels following choppy reaction on today’s key event, release of US Q1 GDP data. Surprise acceleration of US growth in the first three months in 2019 (3.2% vs 2.2 prev and 2.0% f/c) was positive...
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